Papers with probabilistic model

21 papers
Probabilistic FastText for Multi-Sense Word Embeddings (P18-1)

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Challenge: Probabilistic FastText model for word embeddings captures word senses, sub-word structure, and uncertainty information.
Approach: They propose a model for word embeddings that captures multiple word senses . they represent each word with a Gaussian mixture density, with each vector representing an n-gram .
Outcome: The proposed model outperforms dictionary-level probabilistic embeddings on word-similarity benchmarks.
Unsupervised Morphology Learning with Statistical Paradigms (C18-1)

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Challenge: Existing models treat words as concatenation of morphemes, but some use transformations like rewrite rules to recognize dependencies between morphs.
Approach: They propose an unsupervised model that exploits the notion of paradigms for morphological segmentation that can be applied to a homogeneous set of words.
Outcome: The proposed model significantly improves on the Morpho-Challenge dataset in English, Turkish, and Finnish.
A Natural Bias for Language Generation Models (2023.acl-short)

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Challenge: a standard probabilistic model for language generation has likely not yet learnt many semantic or syntactic rules of natural language, making it difficult to estimate the probability distribution over next tokens.
Approach: They propose to initialise bias terms in a model's final linear layer with the log-unigram distribution and use it to output the unigram frequency statistics as prior knowledge.
Outcome: The proposed method improves learning efficiency and improves overall performance.
Quality Estimation for Partially Subjective Classification Tasks via Crowdsourcing (2020.lrec-1)

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Challenge: a common approach to quality estimation is to ask multiple reviewers to evaluate the same artifacts.
Approach: They propose a probabilistic model for subjective classification tasks that incorporates the qualities of artifacts as well as the abilities and biases of creators and reviewers as latent variables to be jointly inferred.
Outcome: The proposed model estimates the quality of speech more effectively than a vote aggregation, measured by correlation with a fine-grained classification by experts.
How Can We Know When Language Models Know? On the Calibration of Language Models for Question Answering (2021.tacl-1)

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Challenge: Recent studies have shown that language models capture different types of knowledge regarding facts or commonsense knowledge.
Approach: They examine how language models can be calibrated to make their confidence scores correlate better with the likelihood of correctness.
Outcome: The proposed calibration methods improve confidence scores on QA tasks and improve accuracy.
Learning Logic Rules for Document-Level Relation Extraction (2021.emnlp-main)

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Challenge: Existing models for document-level relation extraction relied on implicitly powerful representations, which makes the model less transparent.
Approach: They propose a probabilistic model for document-level relation extraction by learning logic rules.
Outcome: The proposed model outperforms baseline models in relation performance and logical consistency.
The problem with probabilistic DAG automata for semantic graphs (N19-1)

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Challenge: Abstract Meaning Representation (AMR) annotations are directed acyclic graphs, but most probabilistic models view them as strings or trees.
Approach: They show that some DAG automata cannot be made into useful probabilistic models by assigning weights to transitions.
Outcome: The proposed model can't be made into useful probabilistic models by assigning weights to transitions . the proposed model is not feasible for all variants, but it is problematic for planar variants if they are not rooted .
Phone Inventories and Recognition for Every Language (2022.lrec-1)

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Challenge: Identifying phone inventories is crucial component in language documentation and preservation of endangered languages.
Approach: They propose a probabilistic and non-probabilistic phone inventory model that estimates the phone inventory for any language listed in Glottolog.
Outcome: The proposed model outperforms baseline models by 6.5 F1 and improves the PER (phone error rate) in phone recognition by 25%.
A Probabilistic Framework for LLM Hallucination Detection via Belief Tree Propagation (2025.naacl-long)

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Challenge: Current large language models (LLMs) produce factually incorrect statements .
Approach: They propose a probabilistic framework for LLM hallucination detection that generates a belief tree by expanding a statement into logically related claims and reasoning globally about the relationships between these claims.
Outcome: The proposed method improves on multiple hallucination detection benchmarks by 3%-9% over state-of-the-art models.
Valency-Augmented Dependency Parsing (D18-1)

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Challenge: valency analysis is a complex task that requires a large number of subcategorizations, such as the number and types of syntactic dependents.
Approach: They propose a parsing approach that explicitly models the number and types of syntactic dependents as valency patterns and a probabilistic model for tagging them.
Outcome: The proposed approach outperforms the state-of-the-art labeled attachment score on 53 treebanks representing 41 languages and outperformed the previous state- of-the art labeles by 0.7.
pEBR: A Probabilistic Approach to Embedding Based Retrieval (2025.emnlp-industry)

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Challenge: Existing embedding-based retrieval systems rely on heuristic and suboptimal cutoffs for item retrieval.
Approach: They propose a probabilistic Embedding-Based Retrieval framework that learns a shared semantic representation space for both queries and items.
Outcome: The proposed framework improves retrieval precision and recall, and ablation studies show it captures the differences between head-to-tail queries.
A Probabilistic Model for Joint Learning of Word Embeddings from Texts and Images (D18-1)

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Challenge: Existing approaches combine language and perception to infer word embeddings . however, the embeddables produced by such models do not reflect the actual word representations.
Approach: They propose a probabilistic model that integrates linguistic and perceptual inputs to explain observed word-context pairs in a text corpus.
Outcome: The proposed model achieves competitive or stronger results on tasks of assessing pairwise word similarity and image/caption retrieval compared to other state-of-the-art models.
Modelling Instance-Level Annotator Reliability for Natural Language Labelling Tasks (N19-1)

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Challenge: Existing models that estimate annotators' reliability only consider binary labels and multi-class labels.
Approach: They propose an unsupervised model which can handle binary and multi-class labels and integrate neural networks to model the dependency between latent variables and instances.
Outcome: The proposed model can handle binary and multi-class labels and can estimate reliability of annotators across instances.
Max-Margin Incremental CCG Parsing (2020.acl-main)

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Challenge: a new incremental parser reduces the number of beam search violations and minimises the biggest violation.
Approach: They propose to use beam search optimisation to minimise all beam search violations instead of minimising only the biggest violation.
Outcome: The proposed parser outperforms existing non-incremental parsers and minimises all beam search violations instead of minimising the biggest violation.
Making Heads and Tails of Models with Marginal Calibration for Sparse Tagsets (2021.findings-emnlp)

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Challenge: despite high accuracy, modern neural networks can still suffer from severe miscalibration.
Approach: They propose to use tag frequency grouping to measure calibration error in different frequency bands to reduce error.
Outcome: The proposed techniques reduce calibration error across the marginal distribution for two existing sequence taggers.
Probabilistic Case-based Reasoning for Open-World Knowledge Graph Completion (2020.findings-emnlp)

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Challenge: Existing methods for learning non-parametric representations of entities and relations are based on tensor factorization or sophisticated neural approaches.
Approach: They propose a case-based reasoning system that retrieves ‘cases’ that are similar to the given problem and then stores them in its parameters.
Outcome: The proposed model outperforms state-of-the-art methods on several benchmark datasets and is non-parametric and grows dynamically as new entities and relations arrive in the KB.
Enhancing Unsupervised Generative Dependency Parser with Contextual Information (P19-1)

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Challenge: Existing approaches to unsupervised dependency parsing are based on probabilistic generative models that learn the joint distribution of the given sentence and its parse.
Approach: They propose a probabilistic model that generates a sentence and its parse from a latent representation, which encodes global contextual information of the generated sentence.
Outcome: The proposed model achieves competitive accuracy compared with state-of-the-art models.
Learning Latent Trees with Stochastic Perturbations and Differentiable Dynamic Programming (P19-1)

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Challenge: Discrete structures are ubiquitous in the study of natural languages, for example in morphology, syntax and discourse analysis.
Approach: They treat projective dependency trees as latent variables in their probabilistic model and induce them in such a way as to be beneficial for a downstream task.
Outcome: The proposed model is effective on sentiment analysis and natural language inference tasks and is fully differentiable.
UniKER: A Unified Framework for Combining Embedding and Definite Horn Rule Reasoning for Knowledge Graph Inference (2021.emnlp-main)

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Challenge: Knowledge graph inference has been studied extensively due to its wide applications.
Approach: They propose a framework that restricts logical rules to be definite Horn rules and can exploit the knowledge in logical rule-based reasoning and KGE in an extremely efficient way.
Outcome: The proposed framework can exploit the knowledge in logical rules and improve KGE in an extremely efficient way.
GENIE: Toward Reproducible and Standardized Human Evaluation for Text Generation (2022.emnlp-main)

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Challenge: Effective human evaluation of text generation tasks remains an important, open area for research.
Approach: They propose a system for running standardized human evaluations across different generation tasks.
Outcome: The proposed system produces standardized human evaluations across tasks . it crowdsources predictions and ranks systems on leaderboards . the proposed system is not reproducible over time and different annotator populations .
Annotating the Annotators: Analysis, Insights and Modelling from an Annotation Campaign on Persuasion Techniques Detection (2025.findings-acl)

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Challenge: Existing annotation campaigns based on heuristic guidelines have not been thoroughly discussed.
Approach: They propose a probabilistic model for optimizing intervention scheduling to reduce the cost of an expert oversight in annotation tasks.
Outcome: The proposed model advocates for an expert oversight in annotation tasks and periodic quality audits to reduce costs.

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